Perspective on Risk - Feb. 15, 2024 (Andy Reid Got Lucky; 3 Pointers Have A Dispremium Now)
perspectiveonrisk.substack.com
Back from Costa Rica. Nice country, nice people. Andy Reid Got Lucky Bad decisions cumulate. According to analysis by Kevin Cole, using the nflfastR model, Andy Reid’s decisions to punt reduced the Chief’s probability of winning by 10%. Here are four decisions he made that lost expected value
Perspective on Risk - Feb. 15, 2024 (Andy Reid Got Lucky; 3 Pointers Have A Dispremium Now)
Perspective on Risk - Feb. 15, 2024 (Andy…
Perspective on Risk - Feb. 15, 2024 (Andy Reid Got Lucky; 3 Pointers Have A Dispremium Now)
Back from Costa Rica. Nice country, nice people. Andy Reid Got Lucky Bad decisions cumulate. According to analysis by Kevin Cole, using the nflfastR model, Andy Reid’s decisions to punt reduced the Chief’s probability of winning by 10%. Here are four decisions he made that lost expected value